TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Rhode Island Rams and George Mason Patriots scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with consistent resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution structure is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (George Mason win and Rhode Island win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a true binary. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market without direct clarification from Kalshi support. The resolution logic as stated is internally inconsistent. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reference framework for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary market structure claims both George Mason win and Rhode Island win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible in a binary framework. Quote: 'If George Mason wins...resolves to Yes. If Rhode Island wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical winner-based resolution. Rhode Island win resolves to Rhode Island Rams, George Mason win resolves to George Mason Patriots. Mutually exclusive and logically sound. Quote: 'If the Rhode Island Rams win, the market will resolve to Rhode Island Rams. If the George Mason Patriots win, the market will resolve to George Mason Patriots.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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