TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the USL Championship game between Rhode Island FC and Louisville City scheduled for September 5, 2026, determining if both teams find the back of the net at least once during the match's regular time. The resolution hinges on whether each team scores during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Rhode Island FC and Louisville City both score a goal in the Rhode Island FC vs Louisville City USL Championship match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more refined probability assessment. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, this market aggregates diverse opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches, but often prediction markets converge towards a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Rhode Island FC vs Louisville City match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting 'yes' (both teams to score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Rhode Island FC and Louisville City score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the verified result. The final score will be the determining factor for this market.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rhode Island FC or Louisville City would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a string of wins or losses, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could also play a role. Finally, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager could impact the perceived likelihood of goals being scored, leading to fluctuations in the market price.