TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Rhode Island FC and Hartford Athletic compete in a USL Championship professional soccer match scheduled for July 18, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic USL Championship match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a Rhode Island FC victory, a Hartford Athletic victory, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially if one venue has sharper or more active traders. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement, though neither is inherently more accurate. Savvy traders monitor both to identify mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the cumulative belief of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts in real time. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price at resolution determines payouts. This mechanism ensures prices remain responsive to new developments throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by the relevant sports authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution happens automatically once the event data is confirmed, and all positions are settled according to the winning outcome.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements—can shift odds significantly in the days leading up to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings often influence trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments reported by credible sports media may also trigger price swings. As game time nears, trading volume typically increases, and odds can become more volatile as traders react to final lineups and pre-match commentary. Monitor sports news and this market's price action closely for early signals of shifting expectations.