TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional USL Cup soccer match between Rhode Island FC and Brooklyn FC scheduled for July 11, 2026. The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC professional USL Cup soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome is evaluated in three possible states: a win for Rhode Island FC, a win for Brooklyn FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie, the designated Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original July 11, 2026 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief—there's no house edge or vig. This market aggregates the collective forecast of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake, which can sometimes reveal signals that traditional oddsmakers miss or adjust more slowly to breaking news and injury reports.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen prices, and matches occur when bids and asks overlap. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the marginal trader's willingness to pay, so as new information emerges—team news, weather, lineup changes—the market reprices instantly. Prices range from $0 to $1, where $1 represents 100% implied probability, making it intuitive to read the market's confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result as documented by recognized sports sources. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as traders process team updates, betting action, and other signals that might influence the game's direction.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, and recent form or head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and any last-minute lineup changes can shift trader expectations significantly. Media coverage, expert analysis, and sharp money flowing into one side of the market often trigger repricing. Additionally, if either team secures or loses key players through transfers or suspensions, or if broader league developments affect motivation, this market will react swiftly as traders update their forecasts.