TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rīga FC" if Rīga FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ararat-Armenia FA" if Ararat-Armenia FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rīga FC" if Rīga FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ararat-Armenia FA" if Ararat-Armenia FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or if one venue attracts more informed trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views persist.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by credible public reporting of the match result, ensuring that the team credited with the opening goal is accurately recorded. Resolution happens after official confirmation, so there may be a brief delay between the final whistle and market settlement. Traders should monitor official match records and reputable sports news sources for confirmation.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift first-goal probabilities, particularly if a key striker or defender is unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff often trigger repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting syndicates entering or exiting the market can also drive volatility. As match day approaches, late-breaking information and final odds from other venues may influence trader positioning and accelerate price movement in either direction.