TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through continuous trader participation and real money at stake. Prediction markets typically incorporate broader information flows and can adjust more dynamically to breaking news. For exact score markets, sportsbooks may offer limited options or wider spreads, whereas prediction markets allow traders to express precise conviction on every possible scoreline, sometimes revealing edges that traditional odds miss.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and continuous order book, where traders buy and sell shares representing each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed on it; higher demand pushes odds up, while lower interest depresses them. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final scoreline, and the market's price discovery mechanism ensures that odds converge toward true probabilities as more information and capital flow in. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster and how quickly they respond to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No other factors—such as penalty shootouts, extra time, or player suspensions—affect the settlement. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome receive their winnings once the result is confirmed and the market officially closes.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments from either side. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Major news—such as a player suspension, coaching change, or unexpected roster move—typically triggers sharp repricing. As the match approaches, odds may tighten around the most likely scorelines while long-shot outcomes drift wider. Live match developments, such as early goals or red cards, will drive dramatic repricing in real time, though this market settles only after the final whistle.