TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between RFK Akhmat Groznyi and FK Spartak Moskva, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Spartak Moskva match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game between RFK Akhmat Groznyi and FK Spartak Moskva, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Spartak Moskva match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Sportsbook odds incorporate sharp professional action and risk management, whereas this market aggregates distributed forecasts from a broader community. Neither is inherently more accurate; sportsbooks excel at rapid adjustment to breaking news, while prediction markets sometimes reveal longer-term consensus shifts that bookmakers lag on.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the cumulative order flow determines the odds displayed on the dashboard. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a continuous equilibrium that reflects the collective forecast of all active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, matching the official result recorded by the league or governing body. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle.
Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will likely shift odds in the days leading up to kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence trader sentiment closer to match time. During the fixture itself, early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts will trigger sharp repricing as live information flows in. Bettors tracking team news, head-to-head records, and recent scoring trends can identify when this market's prices diverge from their own forecasts, creating trading opportunities.