TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Taylor Swift's Reputation album will accumulate more than 35,425,829 worldwide streams during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week. Watch the May 22–28 tracking period closely, as this week's streaming performance will directly determine the market outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official stream counts for Reputation on Luminate covering the May 22–28 tracking window. The outcome hinges on whether the total streams during that specific week exceed 35,425,829. Luminate data serves as the authoritative source, and the binary contract settles based on whether this threshold is crossed. Traders should monitor Luminate's weekly reporting schedule to anticipate when final figures will be published and the market will close.
Several factors could drive trading activity and odds shifts for this event. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other DSPs could boost streams significantly. Taylor Swift social media activity, interviews, or surprise announcements may spike listener engagement. Chart performance and radio airplay can correlate with streaming volume. Competitor releases or broader music industry trends may affect listener attention. Real-time streaming data leaks or early Luminate reports could influence market pricing. Fan campaigns or viral moments tied to Reputation could accelerate streams. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to adjust positions ahead of the May 22–28 window closing.