TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 31,980,841
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 31,980,841 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 27, 3:42 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether the album Reputation achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 19-25 tracking week. Streaming data is compiled from global sources and typically published within 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
If Reputation has above 31,980,841 Worldwide Streams during the June 19 - June 25, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, often capturing signals that traditional analyst forecasts miss. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio announcements, social media buzz, and historical release patterns, this market prices in the same public information plus trader conviction—reflected in the size and timing of positions. Markets tend to update faster than formal forecasts when new developments emerge, making them a useful cross-check against expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the gap between buyers and sellers at any moment, and the midpoint price translates directly into implied probability. As more capital flows into one side, the price moves, incentivizing arbitrage and balancing supply and demand until the market reaches equilibrium.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether new Reputation content streams during the specified week, as documented by official announcements or major entertainment news outlets. Once the resolution window closes and the fact is established, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Official announcements from the artist, label, or streaming platforms are the strongest catalysts—a confirmed release date or surprise drop would shift odds sharply. Social media hints, industry leaks, or statements from collaborators can also influence trader positioning. Chart performance of related singles, tour announcements, or unexpected delays all carry weight. Media coverage and fan speculation tend to amplify volatility as the resolution date approaches, making this market sensitive to both hard news and sentiment shifts.
