TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates performance gaps between Republic of Korea and Uruguay in their upcoming friendly. Outcomes depend on whether either team secures a victory by margins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if either team wins the Republic of Korea vs Uruguay professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A win by Republic of Korea by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals triggers a Yes resolution for the corresponding market, as does a win by Uruguay by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the conditions are not met, the market resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks are owned by their respective parties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If many traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and shifting the prediction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event approaches. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Korea vs Uruguay match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the price beyond the actions of traders on the exchange. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Korea vs Uruguay match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies can also shift expectations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the price to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding the market’s dynamics.