TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the result of a women's professional basketball match between the Republic of Korea and France at the FIBA World Cup. A win for either team determines the market outcome, with specific handling for postponements, cancellations, or missed start windows.
Both markets resolve based on the winner of the Republic of Korea vs France women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, at 2:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve with the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows participants to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate unforeseen factors or late-breaking news, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Korea vs France match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other related matches, or even shifts in public sentiment expressed on social media, could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily influence the price, creating opportunities for arbitrage or signaling shifts in informed opinion. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential movements in the market.