TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 2:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Republic of Ireland will be leading at halftime during their FIFA International Friendlies match against Qatar. On Polymarket, the probability of Ireland leading at the 45-minute mark stands at 100.0%, with a draw at halftime priced at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by official event statistics from the governing body or event organizers, or by consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion. Watch the opening 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on May 28, 2026 to see how the first half unfolds.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from thousands of traders and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs, sometimes pricing in information faster or differently. For the Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar halftime outcome, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the market sees value or disagreement. Prediction markets typically show higher volatility and may react more quickly to breaking news or lineup changes than traditional bookmakers.
The market resolves at May 28, 2026, which corresponds to the halftime interval of the Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar match. Resolution is determined by the official halftime score: whichever team is ahead on the scoreboard at the end of the first half determines the winning outcome. If the score is tied at halftime, that outcome resolves accordingly. Traders should monitor team lineups, injuries, and weather conditions in the days leading up to the match, as these factors influence halftime dynamics and scoring patterns.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived attacking or defensive strength in the opening 45 minutes. Weather conditions on match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—affect ball control and pace, influencing halftime scorelines. Recent form and head-to-head records may prompt trader reassessment as the match approaches. Late-breaking tactical changes or managerial statements can also move odds. Additionally, any significant developments in either squad's preparation or morale in the final days before kickoff could trigger repricing on Polymarket as traders update their probability estimates.