TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Inaki Montes in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Inaki Montes in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks are over or underestimating the probability of a particular outcome in the Murphy Cassone vs Montes match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This allows traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Murphy Cassone vs Montes match as reported by a widely recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant performance updates for either Murphy Cassone or Inaki Montes could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.