TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Finn Bass in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Finn Bass. This market will resolve to 'Finn Bass' if Finn Bass advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Finn Bass in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Finn Bass. This market will resolve to 'Finn Bass' if Finn Bass advances against Luca Potenza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a potential mispricing or differing perspectives on the event. It’s important to note that these are distinct sources of information, each with its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Potenza vs Bass match. The current volume traded is $105,865.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Potenza vs Bass match as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may lead traders to reassess their positions. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market, as traders adjust their overall assessment of player capabilities.