TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Nikola Slavic in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Nikola Slavic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Slavic' if Nikola Slavic advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Nikola Slavic in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Nikola Slavic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Slavic' if Nikola Slavic advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading volume occurs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karl Poling versus Nikola Slavic match, as reported by the governing body for professional tennis. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major announcements about the tournament itself, or even commentary from respected tennis analysts, could all contribute to shifts in the market price as traders react to new information.