TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total games played in the Rennes tennis match between Hamish Stewart and Daniel Rincon will exceed 22.5. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to “Stewart vs. Rincon: Match O/U 22.5”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the total games played to conclude the match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hamish Stewart and Daniel Rincon in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamish Stewart' if Hamish Stewart advances against Daniel Rincon. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Hamish Stewart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, and the odds here may reflect a different assessment of the likely winner of the Stewart vs Rincon match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Stewart vs Rincon match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific result.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stewart vs Rincon match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Hamish Stewart or Daniel Rincon, or changes in coaching strategies could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a venue change or weather forecast, could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.