TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Rennes tennis match between Anton Matusevich and Tristan Schoolkate will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Rennes: Completed Match: Anton Matusevich vs Tristan Schoolkate”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as that will indicate whether the match proceeds as planned and potentially resolve this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Matusevich and Tristan Schoolkate in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anton Matusevich' if Anton Matusevich advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Anton Matusevich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds reflect the opinions of professional oddsmakers and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management strategies. Comparing the two can offer a well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of a particular outcome in the Matusevich vs Schoolkate match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Matusevich vs Schoolkate match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.