TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Matisse Bobichon in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Matisse Bobichon in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If public sentiment strongly favors one player, the odds on Polymarket may move in a direction that differs from the initial sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kobelt vs Bobichon match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. Once the official result is available, Polymarket will finalize the market and distribute payouts to traders holding winning shares. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or tournaments could also lead to significant price movements. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators or expert predictions might also impact trading activity on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probability of each player winning the match.