TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Remo versus Santos match. Different markets will pay out depending on whether Remo wins by a comfortable margin or if Santos secures a decisive victory.
Markets resolve according to the goal differential at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Remo wins by more than the specified goal margin, the corresponding Remo markets resolve to Yes. If Santos wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Santos markets resolve to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that pushes the prediction market price in a different direction, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Remo vs Santos match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these orders. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings suggest uncertainty or new information entering the market.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Remo vs Santos match, as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a different outcome than currently priced into the market could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Remo vs Santos match.