TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Germany's third-tier league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a victory or if the match ends evenly within this timeframe.
The event determines the winner of a professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026, between Regensburg and Düsseldorf. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Regensburg, a win for Düsseldorf, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the specified timeframe, the corresponding market settles to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original schedule, all markets will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's potential outcomes. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's value in a particular outcome that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Regensburg vs Dusseldorf match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the official result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on established facts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, shifts in public opinion, as reflected by media coverage or social media trends, can also drive price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches or even general economic news could indirectly affect trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.