TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 24,251,454
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 24,251,454 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether the album Red - Taylor's Version achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 26 - July 02 tracking week. Worldwide streaming data from all major platforms is aggregated to determine the outcome, with results typically published within 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
If Red - Taylor's Version has above 24,251,454 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than individual expert opinion. While music industry analysts may rely on label statements and historical release patterns, traders in this market incorporate breaking news, social media signals, and their own expectations into live prices. Comparing the current odds here to public statements from Taylor Swift's team or music media outlets can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information that analysts have overlooked or discounted.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all active traders; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, buyers and sellers adjust their bids and asks, and the market price moves accordingly. Your potential payout depends on the final price at which you trade and the eventual resolution of the event.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on whether the streaming release has occurred by that deadline. The resolution will be verified against credible public sources, including official announcements from streaming platforms and Taylor Swift's official channels. Once the event status is confirmed, the market will settle and traders will receive payouts based on their positions.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly: official announcements from Taylor Swift, her record label, or major streaming platforms would have immediate impact. Chart performance or surprise early releases on social media could trigger rapid repricing. Industry news about album rollout strategies, competing releases, or platform exclusivity deals may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any public statements from Swift herself on social media or in interviews regarding Red (Taylor's Version) timing could prompt sharp moves as the market incorporates new information about release timing.
