TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Red Star FC vs. FC Metz
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Red Star FC vs. FC Metz?

Volume:
$102,568

Red Star

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Red Star

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,658
N/A
N/A
$27,936
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Red Star FC

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,512
N/A
N/A
$18,538
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Red Star FC vs. FC Metz)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Metz

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,231
N/A
N/A
$14,224
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Metz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Ligue 2 soccer match between Red Star FC and FC Metz on September 14, 2026. Markets exist for Red Star FC winning, FC Metz winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifically resolves canceled games to 'No' for win markets, while Kalshi lacks this explicit rule, potentially relying on standard sports event rules which may differ.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's cancellation rule could impact win markets. Consider Kalshi if you believe a cancellation is likely and want to avoid the automatic 'No' resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves win markets to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Does not explicitly address game cancellations. Resolution likely defaults to standard sports event rules, which may vary.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Red Star FC and FC Metz.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Red Star vs Metz professional Ligue 2 soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. If Red Star wins, the 'Red Star' market resolves to Yes. If Metz wins, the 'Metz' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while this market aggregates individual predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there's significant public information or differing opinions about the Red Star vs. Metz match. It’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding of potential outcomes and implied probabilities for this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which influence how prices are formed. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role – higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information regarding the Red Star vs. Metz match, or even simply variations in trader sentiment, can cause prices to diverge. These factors contribute to the unique price discovery process on each platform, even though they are tracking the same underlying event.