TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between Red Bull Bragantino and São Paulo FC scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets include total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), spread bets (goal margin requirements), and both teams to score. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match, same date, same time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), and same primary resolution source (CBF official statistics). All threshold-based markets (totals and spreads) are mathematically consistent across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) statistics published on cbf.com.br; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Over/Under 1.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
- Spread Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5): Resolves Yes if Bragantino wins by >= 2 goals, No otherwise
- Spread Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5): Resolves Yes if Bragantino wins by >= 3 goals, No otherwise
- Spread São Paulo FC (-1.5): Resolves Yes if São Paulo wins by >= 2 goals, No otherwise
- Spread São Paulo FC (-2.5): Resolves Yes if São Paulo wins by >= 3 goals, No otherwise
- Both Teams to Score: Resolves Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
- All markets count only goals scored in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (equal payout to both sides).
- Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score as published by CBF for the portion played.
- Resolution Source Delay: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting from established sports news sources.
- Scope Limitation: All markets refer only to outcomes within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official CBF statistics are published (target within 2 hours of final whistle). Markets remain open if match is postponed until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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