TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC
kalshi
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC

Volume:
$190,110

São Paulo FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,507
N/A
N/A
$27,349
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bragantino

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,261
N/A
N/A
$5,254
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,456
N/A
N/A
$9,678
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Red Bull Bragantino and São Paulo FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties considered.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three markets with identical Yes-resolution logic without explicit mutual exclusivity, while Polymarket implements outcome-specific resolution with conflicting cancellation handling between the draw market and win markets.Hero tip: Assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive (standard for match outcomes) but request clarification. On Polymarket, cancellation risk is priced asymmetrically: the draw market benefits from cancellation (resolves Yes), while win markets suffer (resolve No). This creates a natural hedge if you are long draw and short both win markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets each resolving to Yes upon their respective outcome occurring. Logical structure suggests mutual exclusivity (only one outcome per match), but resolution language does not explicitly state this. Key Quote: 'If Sao Paulo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bragantino wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three outcome-specific markets with asymmetric cancellation rules. Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; Win markets resolve No on cancellation. Key Quote: Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.