Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 16, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from CONMEBOL (the governing body for South American professional soccer) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalties.
Red Bull Bragantino win market resolves YES if Bragantino scores more goals than Blooming; otherwise NO.
Club Blooming win market resolves YES if Blooming scores more goals than Bragantino; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score an equal number of goals; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Bragantino and Blooming win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on a new date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES and both team win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official CONMEBOL statistics. If CONMEBOL does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by CONMEBOL or, if unavailable within 2 hours, upon consensus of credible reporting sources.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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