TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense
kalshi
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense

Volume:
$215,930

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Paranaense

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bragantino

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,122
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Paranaense

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Red Bull Bragantino and CA Paranaense scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess whether the match will end in a draw, or result in a win for either Bragantino or Paranaense within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome and agree on the three mutually exclusive result categories, with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.Primary resolution logic: Confederacao Brasileira de Futebol (CBF) official Brasileiro Serie A records

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Three possible outcomes: Red Bull Bragantino win, CA Paranaense win, or draw (tie)
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi resolves all outcome markets to Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on the rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: draw market Yes, win markets No. Kalshi: all outcome markets Yes. This reflects different platform philosophies on null events.
  • Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result; any extra time or penalty shootout is disregarded
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at the end of stoppage time in the 90th minute), or upon official CBF announcement if the match is postponed or canceledOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.