TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense
Volume:
$215,930
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Red Bull Bragantino and CA Paranaense scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess whether the match will end in a draw, or result in a win for either Bragantino or Paranaense within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome and agree on the three mutually exclusive result categories, with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Confederacao Brasileira de Futebol (CBF) official Brasileiro Serie A recordsCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Three possible outcomes: Red Bull Bragantino win, CA Paranaense win, or draw (tie)
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi resolves all outcome markets to Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on the rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: draw market Yes, win markets No. Kalshi: all outcome markets Yes. This reflects different platform philosophies on null events.
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result; any extra time or penalty shootout is disregarded
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at the end of stoppage time in the 90th minute), or upon official CBF announcement if the match is postponed or canceledOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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