TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams will compete in a best-of-three series. This market centers on which team secures victory in the first map of their match scheduled for September 15, 2026.
The market resolves based on which team wins the first map in the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body's decision.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional considerations, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific map being chosen. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the potential map pick. The current price indicates how much it costs to gain exposure to a particular outcome, and conversely, how much you could earn if that outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the map chosen for the first match between Recrent Club and NS Club will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official tournament broadcasts or results published by the event organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the CS2 map pick market before resolution. Any news regarding team strategies, player preferences for certain maps, or recent performance on specific maps could shift trader sentiment. Official announcements from the tournament organizers about map pools or potential veto procedures would also be significant catalysts. Unexpected roster changes or reports of player illness could also impact the perceived probabilities, leading to price movements in this market as traders react to the new information.