TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
SME above 21%
- Kalshi
SME above 21% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 30, 2026
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the competitive performance of major record labels during a specific week in the music industry. It focuses on whether each label achieves a predetermined market share threshold based on chart data. The outcome reflects the labels' relative influence and popularity during that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Universal Music Group (UMG), Sony Music Entertainment (SME), and Warner Music Group (WMG) each achieve specific market share thresholds on the Hits Daily Double: Hits Top 50 chart for the week ending August 27, 2026. Market share percentages are determined from data published on the Hits Daily Double website each Friday, reflecting the chart dated Thursday of that week. If UMG's share exceeds 59%, SME's share exceeds 21%, or WMG's share exceeds 13%, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. No endorsement or affiliation is implied between the record labels, Hits Daily Double, or the event operator; all references are used descriptively only.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing week’s data on recorded sales or market share reports will settle the contract, reflecting the dominant label’s performance for that period.
Several signals could impact this market before it resolves on Aug 28, 2026. Weekly album sales reports, streaming platform updates, and chart releases may shift trader sentiment dramatically. Any major label announcement — such as a surprise hit release or marketing campaign — could also affect odds. Additionally, broader entertainment trends, like a viral social media moment or award show nominations, might influence consumer purchasing habits. Traders should watch real-time sales data and industry news feeds to anticipate potential price swings.
