TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
WMG above 11%
- Kalshi
WMG above 11% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the competitive performance of major record labels during a specific week in the music industry. It focuses on whether each label achieves predetermined market share thresholds based on chart data. The outcomes reflect the labels' relative influence and popularity in the recorded music market for that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates three separate market share conditions for major record labels using data from the Hits Daily Double: Hits Top 50 chart for the week ending August 20, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective label—Universal Music Group (UMG), Sony Music Entertainment (SME), or Warner Music Group (WMG)—exceeds its specified market share threshold: UMG above 68%, SME above 21%, or WMG above 11%. Market share percentages are published weekly on the Hits Daily Double website, with the chart dated Thursday typically appearing on Friday. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Importantly, these markets and their associated products are not endorsed by the record labels or Hits Daily Double; references to these entities are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement between the parties involved and Kalshi.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning label will be the one with the highest market share according to official industry measurements for the week ending that date. No further interpretation is needed — the numbers speak for themselves.
Key signals include major album releases, chart-topping singles, or high-profile touring announcements from any competing label. Awards season buzz, streaming service exclusives, or sudden shifts in consumer listening habits could also sway trader sentiment. Any development that suggests a label’s short-term dominance — or a competitor’s resurgence — may cause rapid price moves in this market.
