TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería
Volume:
$40,620
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match between Real Zaragoza and UD Almería scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets track the three possible outcomes: a Zaragoza win, an Almería win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling for the draw outcome differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi does not address this scenario and provides no fallback logic.Hero Tip:
Monitor La Liga 2 official channels for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no rescheduling, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve Yes automatically. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined; contact support or refer to platform-specific cancellation policy. For normal match completion, all three markets (Zaragoza win, draw, Almería win) resolve consistently across both platforms based on the final 90-minute result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Zaragoza Win (Yes if Zaragoza wins, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise, but Yes if canceled with no makeup), and Almería Win (Yes if Almería wins, No otherwise). All resolve based on official La Liga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Single market with three possible outcomes (Tie, Almería, Zaragoza), each resolving to Yes if that outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes the match will be completed; no fallback logic for cancellation scenarios. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... If Almeria wins... If Zaragoza wins... after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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