TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga 2 soccer match between Real Valladolid CF and CD Leganés scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Valladolid win, draw, or Leganés win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and leaves the resolution path ambiguous for this scenario.Hero Tip:
Verify cancellation protocol with Kalshi before match day. If a cancellation with no makeup occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's outcome is unclear. Consider this a settlement risk factor and monitor official La Liga 2 communications for any postponement or cancellation notices.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: draw (YES if draw or canceled with no makeup), Valladolid win (YES if Valladolid wins, NO if canceled), Leganés win (YES if Leganés wins, NO if canceled). Cancellation with no makeup resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO. Postponement keeps all markets open. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.Kalshi:
Three binary markets presented as mutually exclusive outcomes (Valladolid win, Tie, Leganés win) for the same match. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Structure implies one of the three outcomes must occur, but cancellation scenario is not addressed. Resolution source not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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