TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Real Sporting de Gijón and RC Deportivo La Coruña.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (Gijon win, Deportivo win, or tie) resolves to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic where exactly one outcome per market resolves YES and others resolve NO.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making them unsuitable for prediction. Trade only Polymarket markets, which follow standard resolution logic where each outcome is mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's three markets each state 'then the market resolves to Yes' for every possible outcome (Gijon win, Deportivo win, and tie), creating a logical impossibility where all three markets resolve YES simultaneously. This violates basic market design where outcomes should be mutually exclusive. Key quote: 'If Gijon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Deportivo De La Coruna wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Gijon win, draw, Deportivo win) where each resolves YES for its specific outcome and NO for all others, ensuring exactly one market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If Real Sporting de Gijón wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.