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Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés
polymarket
kalshi

Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés

Volume:
$331,113

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 1:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,891
N/A
N/A
$68,131
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gijon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,473
N/A
N/A
$50,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Leganes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,106
N/A
N/A
$40,237
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Leganés

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Sporting de Gijón

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the La Liga 2 match between Real Sporting de Gijón and CD Leganés scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the three possible outcomes: a Leganés win, a Gijón win, or a draw. All resolution criteria focus on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The draw/tie market on Polymarket treats game cancellation as a draw resolution (YES), while Kalshi's tie market only resolves YES for an actual on-field draw. This creates a settlement divergence in the cancellation edge case.Hero tip: Monitor official La Liga 2 sources for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no reschedule, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while Kalshi's will not. Position accordingly based on your platform exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets: Leganés win, Gijón win, and draw. All three markets remain open if postponed. Critically, the draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets resolve NO in cancellation. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Offers three outcome-based markets covering Leganés win, Gijón win, and tie, each resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard practice implies cancellation would likely resolve based on official league determination or market discretion, not automatically to YES for the tie market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.