TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo
polymarket
kalshi

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo

Volume:
$2,808,062

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183,664
N/A
N/A
$70,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$797,017
N/A
N/A
$388,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Oviedo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420,347
N/A
N/A
$132,658
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$137,463
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$994,602
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Real Oviedo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274,969
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a La Liga professional soccer match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Real Oviedo scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Real Sociedad win, a Real Oviedo win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled match with no make-up game resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving the resolution undefined.Hero tip: Cross-platform traders should assume Kalshi markets resolve NO on cancellation (conservative default) while Polymarket's draw market resolves YES. This creates a synthetic arbitrage risk if cancellation occurs. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy with support before the match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Win markets (Real Sociedad, Real Oviedo) resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All markets remain open if postponed until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (Real Sociedad wins, Tie wins, Oviedo wins) with no explicit cancellation clause. Markets resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation behavior is undefined. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Real Sociedad vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.