TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo
Volume:
$2,808,062
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga professional soccer match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Real Oviedo scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Real Sociedad win, a Real Oviedo win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled match with no make-up game resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving the resolution undefined.Hero Tip:
Cross-platform traders should assume Kalshi markets resolve NO on cancellation (conservative default) while Polymarket's draw market resolves YES. This creates a synthetic arbitrage risk if cancellation occurs. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy with support before the match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Win markets (Real Sociedad, Real Oviedo) resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All markets remain open if postponed until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (Real Sociedad wins, Tie wins, Oviedo wins) with no explicit cancellation clause. Markets resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation behavior is undefined. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Real Sociedad vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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