TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Real Sociedad or Atlético Madrid will score first in the first half. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team, Real Sociedad or Atlético Madrid, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be considered for the purpose of resolving this market. The result will be publicly available shortly after the first half concludes.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Atlético Madrid would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any unexpected weather conditions or referee assignments might be factored into the market price. Even general news related to team morale or recent performance could contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.