TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

What is the result of Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid?

Volume:
$1,060,079

Club Atlético de Madrid

 - Polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 5:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$633,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid)

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Both Teams To Score

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,648
N/A
N/A
$76,035
Settled
No
limitless

Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid both to score?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Real Sociedad de Fútbol versus Club Atlético de Madrid match, specifically whether Club Atlético de Madrid will win on September 13, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 99.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.laliga.com/. Keep an eye on September 14, 2026, as this is the estimated date for resolution and will reflect the completion of the match window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution for complete game cancellations. Polymarket resolves to 'No', while Limitless resolves to '50-50'.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a cancellation and the potential impact on your positions. Limitless's 50-50 resolution introduces more risk in the event of a no-game scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Win/Draw/Loss markets resolve 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Both Teams to Score market resolves 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Primary source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Limitless: Both Teams to Score market resolves to '50-50' if the match is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Primary source is official statistics, with fallback to consensus.
  • Kalshi: Both Teams to Score market resolves based on whether both teams score during regular time. No specific cancellation resolution is stated, implying reliance on official result or abandonment rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Club Atlético de Madrid.

Kalshi

If Real Sociedad and Atletico both score a goal in the Real Sociedad vs Atletico La Liga match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if both Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the La Liga match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as prediction markets incentivize participants to share their genuine insights. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. It’s useful to compare both to get a comprehensive view before the event.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Limitless for the Real Sociedad vs. Atlético Madrid match can arise due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform may not be identical, leading to differing probabilities. For example, one platform might focus on a simple win/loss outcome, while the other offers more nuanced options, impacting how traders assess the likelihood of various results. These differences contribute to the observed price variations.