TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Real Sociedad de Fútbol versus Club Atlético de Madrid match, specifically whether Club Atlético de Madrid will win on September 13, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 99.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.laliga.com/. Keep an eye on September 14, 2026, as this is the estimated date for resolution and will reflect the completion of the match window.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Club Atlético de Madrid.
If Real Sociedad and Atletico both score a goal in the Real Sociedad vs Atletico La Liga match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the La Liga match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Limitless for the Real Sociedad vs. Atlético Madrid match can arise due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform may not be identical, leading to differing probabilities. For example, one platform might focus on a simple win/loss outcome, while the other offers more nuanced options, impacting how traders assess the likelihood of various results. These differences contribute to the observed price variations.