TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Chelsea FC
kalshi
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Chelsea FC

Volume:
$63,021

Chelsea FC

 - Polymarket

Chelsea FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 4:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chelsea FC

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Chelsea

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,604
N/A
N/A
$7,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Real Sociedad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,967
N/A
N/A
$12,115
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,605
N/A
N/A
$5,524
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Chelsea FC)

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a women's Champions League soccer match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Chelsea FC scheduled for September 2, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether Real Sociedad wins, Chelsea wins, or the match ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a tri-state market that resolves Yes for any outcome (win/draw/loss) while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with different cancellation rulesHero tip: Trade Polymarket markets based on specific outcome probabilities. Kalshi market behaves like an 'any outcome' insurance contract - it resolves Yes regardless of who wins or if the match is canceled

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: 'Will Real Sociedad win?', 'Will it end in a draw?', 'Will Chelsea win?' Each has specific cancellation rules: Real Sociedad win market resolves No if canceled, Draw market resolves Yes if canceled
  • Kalshi: Single tri-state market: resolves Yes if Real Sociedad wins, Chelsea wins, OR match ends in a draw (after 90 minutes plus stoppage time). No explicit cancellation rule stated
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 2, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Chelsea FC.

Kalshi

If Real Sociedad wins the Real Sociedad vs Chelsea professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Chelsea wins the Real Sociedad vs Chelsea professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Real Sociedad vs Chelsea professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.