TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga professional soccer match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and CA Osasuna scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation outcome divergence between platforms. Polymarket explicitly specifies different resolutions for cancellation scenarios depending on market type (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO), while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating potential settlement conflicts if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor official La Liga communications for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw markets to resolve YES while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's behavior in cancellation scenarios is undefined and requires clarification from the platform. Traders holding positions across both platforms face asymmetric payoff risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with outcome-dependent cancellation logic. Real Sociedad win and Osasuna win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponed games remain open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [NO/YES].' Primary source is official La Liga statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Real Sociedad win, Osasuna win, tie) all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Real Sociedad vs Osasuna professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Resolution source not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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