TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth?

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Europa League soccer match between Real Sociedad and AFC Bournemouth, specifically whether AFC Bournemouth will win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 17, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of AFC Bournemouth winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is based on the result of the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 17, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms; Polymarket resolves 'No' while Kalshi's logic doesn't explicitly address cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a clear 'No' resolution in that scenario, while Kalshi's outcome is less defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'No'. This is explicitly stated in the description.
  • Kalshi: The Kalshi market resolves based on a win/tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It doesn't explicitly state what happens if the game is canceled, implying no resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 17, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and AFC Bournemouth.

Kalshi

If Real Sociedad wins the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Bournemouth wins the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief and information aggregation. This market's odds reflect what traders are willing to pay, indicating their perceived probability of each outcome. Sportsbooks may also react more slowly to new information or be influenced by biases, whereas prediction markets can quickly incorporate collective intelligence. The difference between the two can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, but it's important to consider the volume of this market – $3,811,486 – when assessing its reliability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with access to specific information, while Kalshi could have a broader, more casual audience. Differences in trading fees and market-making incentives can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – $3,811,486 total – isn’t necessarily evenly distributed, leading to differing price discovery processes. These factors create independent price signals even for the same underlying event.