TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón
Volume:
$90,955
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and CD Castellón scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets on Polymarket track individual outcomes (Castellón win, Real Sociedad B win, draw), while Kalshi offers a single catch-all market covering all three possible results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Kalshi's unified market also resolves Yes, but Polymarket's win markets resolve No. This creates an asymmetric outcome structure in the event of cancellation.Hero Tip:
If trading across both platforms, note that a full cancellation scenario creates different payoff profiles: Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose, but Kalshi's single market resolves Yes regardless. Monitor cancellation risk carefully, as it is the only material divergence. For normal match completion, all platforms are logically consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Castellón win (Yes/No), Real Sociedad B win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). On cancellation with no makeup: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. draw market which resolves Yes.
- Kalshi: Single unified market covering all three outcomes (Tie, Castellon win, Real Sociedad B win). On cancellation, the market resolves Yes to all outcomes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... If Castellon wins... If Real Sociedad B wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation clause provided, implying Yes resolution for any outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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