TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón
polymarket
kalshi

Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón

Volume:
$90,955

Real Sociedad B

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 1:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Sociedad B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,591
N/A
N/A
$14,800
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,998
N/A
N/A
$12,178
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Castellon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,777
N/A
N/A
$8,252
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Castellón

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and CD Castellón scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets on Polymarket track individual outcomes (Castellón win, Real Sociedad B win, draw), while Kalshi offers a single catch-all market covering all three possible results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Kalshi's unified market also resolves Yes, but Polymarket's win markets resolve No. This creates an asymmetric outcome structure in the event of cancellation.Hero tip: If trading across both platforms, note that a full cancellation scenario creates different payoff profiles: Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose, but Kalshi's single market resolves Yes regardless. Monitor cancellation risk carefully, as it is the only material divergence. For normal match completion, all platforms are logically consistent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Castellón win (Yes/No), Real Sociedad B win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). On cancellation with no makeup: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. draw market which resolves Yes.
  • Kalshi: Single unified market covering all three outcomes (Tie, Castellon win, Real Sociedad B win). On cancellation, the market resolves Yes to all outcomes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... If Castellon wins... If Real Sociedad B wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation clause provided, implying Yes resolution for any outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.