TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Salt Lake vs. Seattle Sounders FC - More Markets
Volume:
$65,219
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Real Salt Lake and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), and both-teams-to-score. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses 'more than X' phrasing while Polymarket uses 'X or more' phrasing for over/under thresholds. While mathematically equivalent, the semantic difference creates potential for misinterpretation. Additionally, Kalshi markets are phrased as Yes/No conditions while Polymarket uses Over/Under labels.Hero Tip:
Both platforms resolve identically in practice: a combined score of 3 goals triggers YES on Kalshi's 2.5 market and OVER on Polymarket's 2.5 market. A score of 4 triggers YES/OVER on both 3.5 markets. Confirm your platform's exact threshold before placing trades. All markets reference the same official source (mlssoccer.com) and time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents four over/under markets as Yes/No binary conditions using 'more than X' language. Market 1: more than 1.5 goals = YES. Market 2: more than 3.5 goals = YES. Market 3: more than 4.5 goals = YES. Market 4: more than 2.5 goals = YES. All reference combined Seattle and Salt Lake goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Polymarket: Presents over/under markets using Over/Under labels with 'X or more' thresholds. O/U 1.5: OVER if 2+ goals. O/U 2.5: OVER if 3+ goals. O/U 3.5: OVER if 4+ goals. O/U 4.5: OVER if 5+ goals. All reference mlssoccer.com official score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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