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Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes?

Total volume:
$1,452,536
Volume 24h:
$1,447,479
36,496%
Liquidity:
$36,375
8%
Open interest:
$844,145
17,223%

Draw

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Draw at halftime?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw

Trade
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$5,747
$1,397
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$407,623
N/A
N/A
$229,008
Settled
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.9%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
Avg: 50.1¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

Trade
0%
22%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$30,629
$2,183
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

San Jose

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$516,916
N/A
N/A
$319,390
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
kalshi

Salt Lake

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$522,999
N/A
N/A
$295,746
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Salt Lake

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the halftime result of the Real Salt Lake versus San Jose Earthquakes soccer match on October 14, 2026, forecasting whether the game will be a draw at halftime. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw at halftime is 100.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Real Salt Lake versus San Jose Earthquakes professional MLS soccer game. Keep an eye on the game’s kickoff on October 14, 2026, as the first half will directly determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket treats a canceled game as a 'No' resolution, while Kalshi resolves based on the eventual result if the game is rescheduled.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading on Polymarket versus Kalshi. Kalshi offers resolution even with rescheduling, while Polymarket does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Focuses on leading at halftime within the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins or the game is a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not specify a 'No' outcome and implicitly resolves if the game is rescheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLS game between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Salt Lake vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Salt Lake resolves the 'Salt Lake' market to Yes; a win for San Jose resolves the 'San Jose' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks predictions on the halftime result of the Real Salt Lake match against the San Jose Earthquakes. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Real Salt Lake leading at halftime at 98%, while Kalshi shows a chance percent of n/a. The total volume across both platforms is $1,452,536, with $1,077,795 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their views on which team will be ahead at the midpoint of the game and profit if their prediction proves correct. The consensus view, however, is still developing as traders on both platforms weigh in.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their pricing, whereas prediction markets are more directly driven by beliefs about the actual outcome. While both aim to accurately forecast the result of the Real Salt Lake match, the mechanisms by which they arrive at those odds are distinct, potentially leading to discrepancies.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms attract different user bases with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed. The differing chance percentages for Real Salt Lake leading at halftime—98% on Polymarket versus n/a on Kalshi—illustrate this potential for price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result of the Real Salt Lake versus San Jose Earthquakes match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The result will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final halftime score to understand the outcome of this market. The current volume is $1,452,536.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might impact the style of play and affect the likelihood of different halftime outcomes. Additionally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions could sway trader sentiment. Monitoring team lineups and pre-game reports will be key to understanding potential market movements up to Oct 15, 2026.