TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 1:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the upcoming Leagues Cup soccer match between Real Salt Lake and FC Juárez will exceed 2.5 goals. The aggregated consensus probability for "Over 2.5 goals" is 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics published on leaguescup.com. The key catalyst to watch is the match itself, scheduled for August 11 at 9:30 PM ET, which will determine the outcome.
More markets for the Leagues Cup game, scheduled for August 11 at 9:30 PM ET.
The market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Juarez wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Pumas UNAM wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjust for sharp money, prediction markets price outcomes based purely on trader activity and public data. This can lead to tighter spreads or divergent views, especially when trader sentiment diverges from mainstream betting trends.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform’s community may weigh recent team performance, injuries, or other variables differently, leading to distinct probability assessments. Additionally, varying levels of trading volume can amplify small shifts in sentiment into noticeable price gaps.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends can all shift this market. Media narratives and betting volume spikes on either Polymarket or Kalshi may also create momentum swings. As the match date approaches, any last-minute lineup changes or tactical announcements are likely to produce notable price adjustments, so keep an eye on official team updates and trading activity.