This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Real Salt Lake and Austin FC scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets span total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds), both-teams-to-score, and spread betting (win-margin outcomes) across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time), identical postponement/cancellation protocols (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup), and both reference the official MLS Soccer website as the authoritative score source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com) - final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds) resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams; threshold is inclusive (e.g., O/U 4.5 resolves Over if combined total is 5 or more)
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; resolves No if either team finishes with zero goals
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: RSL -1.5 requires RSL win by 2+ goals; RSL -2.5 requires RSL win by 3+ goals; Austin -1.5 requires Austin win by 2+ goals; Austin -2.5 requires Austin win by 3+ goals
Resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Official source is mlssoccer.com final score publication
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the rescheduled game's final score.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-match), resolution follows the official final score published by mlssoccer.com at that time.
Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based only on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com following the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 14, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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