This event group covers a La Liga match between Real Oviedo and Valencia CF scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), spread bets (goal-margin thresholds for both teams), and both-teams-to-score. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official LaLiga.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete matches (official score or consensus reporting).
Primary resolution logic:
LaLiga.com official statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): Resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams. Over wins if combined total meets or exceeds the threshold plus one; Under wins if below.
Spread markets (Valencia -1.5, Valencia -2.5, Oviedo -1.5, Oviedo -2.5): Resolve based on goal differential. Favored team wins if margin meets or exceeds stated threshold; otherwise, underdog wins.
Both Teams to Score: Resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team finishes with zero goals.
Scope: All markets measure only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed.
Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Incomplete Match: If started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score from LaLiga.com.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponed: Markets remain open and do not resolve until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Game Canceled (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes).
Game Started But Not Completed: Resolution uses the official final score published by LaLiga.com, treating the incomplete match as the final result.
LaLiga Delay Beyond 2 Hours: If LaLiga.com has not published official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
Extra Time or Penalties: Markets resolve based only on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from all calculations.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official LaLiga.com statistics are published, or within 2 hours post-match if consensus reporting is required. Markets remain open if the match is postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.