TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF
Volume:
$828,085
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Oviedo and Valencia CF scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track the final outcome (Valencia win, Oviedo win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation clause that resolves it to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. This creates a logical inconsistency: a canceled match cannot simultaneously resolve all three outcome markets (Valencia win, Oviedo win, draw) to Yes on Kalshi, yet the draw market on Polymarket explicitly resolves to Yes on cancellation.Hero Tip:
Track official La Liga announcements for postponements or cancellations. If the match is rescheduled, both platforms treat it as open until completion. If canceled permanently with no make-up, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve Yes while Kalshi's markets may resolve No or remain pending clarification. Request explicit cancellation guidance from both platforms before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three binary markets, each resolving to Yes for one outcome (Valencia win, Oviedo win, or tie). All three outcomes are mutually exclusive. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Valencia win Yes/No, Oviedo win Yes/No, draw Yes/No). Draw market includes cancellation clause: resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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