This event group covers a La Liga match between Real Oviedo and Athletic Club (Bilbao) scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), spread betting (goal-margin outcomes at -1.5, -2.5 levels for both teams), and both-teams-to-score. Both Polymarket and Kalshi reference the same official La Liga source and 90-minute regulation play window.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: official La Liga final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
La Liga official website (laliga.com) - final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Spread Real Oviedo (-1.5): Real Oviedo wins if goal margin >= 2, otherwise Athletic Club
Spread Athletic Club (-1.5): Athletic Club wins if goal margin >= 2, otherwise Real Oviedo
Spread Real Oviedo (-2.5): Real Oviedo wins if goal margin >= 3, otherwise Athletic Club
Spread Athletic Club (-2.5): Athletic Club wins if goal margin >= 3, otherwise Real Oviedo
Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. Resolution then occurs based on the final score from that completed match.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes) if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled.
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score published by La Liga, which may reflect the score at the time of abandonment or an official determination.
Scope: Regulation Time Only: All markets cover only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts (if applicable in a cup context, though this is La Liga) are excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes and La Liga publishes the official final score. If postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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