TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Madrid vs. Valencia
polymarket
kalshi

Real Madrid vs. Valencia

Volume:
$277,651

Real Madrid vs. Valencia

 - Polymarket

Real Madrid vs. Valencia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Real Madrid vs. Valencia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$242,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,746
N/A
N/A
$15,299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Valencia Basket

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,339
N/A
N/A
$16,460
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Real Madrid and Valencia Basket scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets on the outcome of this single game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Valencia win and Real Madrid win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary logic.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until resolution criteria are corrected. Polymarket is the only platform with valid, executable resolution logic for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome resolution: Real Madrid win resolves to Real Madrid, Valencia win resolves to Valencia. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both "If Valencia Basket wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Real Madrid wins... resolves to Yes" are stated. This creates an impossible resolution state where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.