TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Real Madrid versus Inter Milan Champions League soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the official result of the Real Madrid vs Inter professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game on September 8th, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of September 9th, 2026.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are exceeded in the Real Madrid vs Inter game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from goal counts. Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting bias or promotional offers. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, can offer a different perspective on the probability of various goal totals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, specific total goal counts. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the actual total goals match that number.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Real Madrid vs Inter match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official match statistics from a reputable sports data provider will serve as the definitive source for the total goals scored, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Inter would likely cause significant price movement. Tactical announcements from the managers, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day and even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could all contribute to changes in the price of contracts within this market.