TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Madrid players to leave by September 1, 2026
limitless

Real Madrid players to leave by September 1, 2026

Volume:
$807

Fran García

 - Limitless

Fran García - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:59 PM EST

limitless

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View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Fran García

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6.9¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Vinícius Júnior

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
14.9¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Federico Valverde

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
14.9¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Rodrygo

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
15.2¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Brahim Díaz

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
15.9¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Dani Ceballos

N/A
N/A
4.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player leaves Real Madrid on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." If the listed player is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Real Madrid, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.” Transfers between Real Madrid's senior and reserve or youth teams will not count. Only official announcements made between June 11, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify. Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid, the listed player, or the signing club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player leaves Real Madrid on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, each option will resolve to "NO." If the listed player is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Real Madrid, or retires, this market will resolve to “YES.” Transfers between Real Madrid's senior and reserve or youth teams will not count. Only official announcements made between June 11, 2026, 12:00 UTC and September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will qualify. Announcements of future transfers or departures made after September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid, the listed player, or the signing club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Real Madrid player departures market on Limitless tracks trader positions and price movements around which players will leave the club by September 1, 2026. The dashboard displays current odds for individual departure outcomes, historical price charts, and trading volume to help you monitor how market sentiment evolves. You can follow real-time shifts as transfer rumors, injury reports, contract negotiations, and managerial decisions surface. This market aggregates collective forecasts from traders worldwide, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional transfer speculation.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks typically focus on betting outcomes with built-in margins, while prediction markets like this one reflect trader consensus on whether specific events will occur. Prediction markets often incorporate longer time horizons and more granular outcomes—such as individual player departures—than traditional sports betting. Because traders profit from accuracy rather than volume, these odds can sometimes diverge from sportsbook pricing, especially for niche events with lower mainstream attention.

On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the marginal trade—the last transaction—and shift in real time as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions. Higher prices indicate stronger collective belief that a player will depart; lower prices suggest skepticism. You can trade at any time before the market closes, locking in your forecast at the current market price.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, once the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution will confirm which Real Madrid players have officially departed the club by that date, whether through transfer, loan, release, or other means. Official club announcements, transfer market databases, and reputable sports news outlets will serve as the basis for determining which outcomes have occurred. Traders should monitor transfer windows and official communications closely as the deadline approaches.

Several catalysts can shift prices in this market. Contract extension announcements or renewal talks will lower departure odds for those players. Injury reports, performance slumps, or managerial changes may increase departure likelihood. Transfer rumors from credible journalists, interest from rival clubs, and financial pressures on Real Madrid all influence trader sentiment. Coaching transitions, squad restructuring decisions, and player statements about their future also matter. Major tournament performances or personal circumstances can reshape expectations about player retention through September 2026.